| CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FUTURE OF | | | | little or no incentive to reduce emission. |
| THE EARTH – FROM A ECO-POLITICAL | | | | They do not have to compensate those |
| PERSPECTIVE | | | | who have to suffer because of them. |
| INTRODUCTION | | | | However the risks and uncertainties around |
| The Industrial Revolution began in the mid | | | | the costs and benefits of climate policy |
| 19 th century. At that time people could | | | | are large. Hence these must be taken into |
| have hardly imagined the historic | | | | account. For example there are |
| transformations which it would bring not | | | | uncertainties associated with future rates |
| only to human civilization but also to the | | | | of economic growth, with the volume of |
| planet as a whole. The urbanization and | | | | emissions that will follow, with the increase |
| the industrialization of the world was the | | | | in temperature resulting from emissions, |
| initial effect. But later on a more serious | | | | with the impact of these temperature |
| threat took shape in disruption of the | | | | increases and so on. Similarly there are |
| global ecosystem at a pace which it had | | | | uncertainties associated with the economic |
| never witnessed before. Hence today we | | | | response to policy measures, and hence |
| have climate summits where the world | | | | about how much it will cost to reduce |
| tries to come to a consensus as to | | | | emissions. Thus the choices are difficult to |
| the best possible way in which to do | | | | make. |
| away with the ill-effects of the Industrial | | | | THE POLITICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE |
| Revolution without losing out on it's | | | | Real climate solutions need a socio-political |
| benefits. But there is a discrepancy here. | | | | revolution and deals between the world's |
| This is because even after nearly 150 | | | | big powers. We have to create a politics |
| years the benefits of the Industrial | | | | of the long term to handle climate |
| Revolution has not spread throughout the | | | | change in political systems where we are |
| globe equitably. Thus we have the division | | | | used to short-term thinking. Consensus |
| between the developed and developing | | | | must be built between political parties |
| countries. And here is where the problem | | | | around climate change and energy policy. |
| lies. For the developed countries are | | | | Geo-politics plays an important role in |
| unwilling to accept their greater | | | | international climate change negotiations. |
| responsibility in causing the present climate | | | | Partisan politics must give way to a |
| problem. They are thus denying a historical | | | | more broader outlook. Climate politics is a |
| fact. On the other hand the present | | | | numbers game. It's about who will make |
| climate change problem poses a graver | | | | the most allowances. Yet no one is |
| threat to the developing countries. This is | | | | willing to take the lead in this. Everyone |
| because many of these countries are still | | | | is passing the buck. This is highly |
| primarily agricultural in nature. Irrigation | | | | irresponsible. Political statements will not |
| systems in many areas are not properly | | | | reduce emissions. They have to be |
| developed or completely absent. Hence these | | | | followed up by action. Through climate aid |
| areas have to still rely on the rain gods | | | | rich countries help poor countries to |
| for meeting their daily subsistence | | | | develop low-carbon economies and adapt |
| requirements. So clearly the responsibility | | | | to unavoidable climate change. But this aid |
| for reducing global emissions is not the | | | | is often tied to foreign policy issues. The |
| same for everyone. But this is where | | | | developed countries want to scrutinize the |
| the politics comes into play. Vested | | | | climate actions of the developing countries. |
| interests who will continue to benefit from | | | | But the latter led by India and China |
| the maintenance of the status quo are | | | | vehemently oppose any such move. |
| adamantly opposed to any change in the | | | | Whatever their other differences these |
| present scenario. They also have a large | | | | two Asian giants are united on the |
| clout within governments. But this situation | | | | climate forum. The most important thing |
| is untenable. It cannot last long. By the | | | | lacking in climate politics is trust. In |
| time we come to realize the gravity of | | | | Copenhagen, this issue of "transparency" |
| the problem it might be just too late. | | | | was a key deal breaker. As long as |
| What is required is a broader outlook, one | | | | this trust is not developed no progress |
| that looks beyond narrow short-term | | | | can be made. |
| considerations. The present rate of climate | | | | SOLUTIONS |
| change is clearly an aberration in the | | | | Humans need to adapt to the impacts |
| history of the world. Yes there have | | | | of climate change, for instance through |
| been violent and sudden cataclysms before. | | | | technological solutions such as coastal |
| Ice ages have occurred since the birth | | | | defences and changes in consumption |
| of the planet itself. The only new | | | | habits. Here adaptation means adjustment |
| variables are humans. No matter what our | | | | in natural or human systems to a new |
| other differences we should be united on | | | | or changing environment. Various types of |
| this issue. Copenhagen Summit did not | | | | adaptation can be distinguished, including |
| achieve much. Kyoto Protocol was not | | | | anticipatory and reactive adaptation, private |
| recognized by US. 10 years after it set | | | | and public adaptation, and autonomous and |
| limits on international carbon emissions | | | | planned adaptation. Humans are already |
| greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are | | | | adapting to climate change, and further |
| still increasing. A lot needs to be done. | | | | adaptation efforts will be necessary during |
| THE NEED FOR IMMEDIATE ACTION | | | | the coming decades. However adaptation |
| The average temperature on Earth has | | | | alone is not expected to be able to |
| already warmed by close to 1 degree | | | | cope with all projected effects since the |
| Celsius since the beginning of the industrial | | | | options diminish and costs increase with |
| period. In the words of the Fourth | | | | rising temperatures. Some examples of |
| Assessment Report of the | | | | adaptation processes already taking place-: |
| Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change | | | | climate change is taken into account in |
| (IPCC) a consensus document produced by | | | | coastal defence projects in the Maldives |
| over 2000 scientists representing every | | | | and Netherlands, prevention of glacial lake |
| country in the United Nations:"Warming of | | | | outburst flooding in Nepal, water |
| the climate system is unequivocal". Global | | | | management strategies in Australia, and |
| atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, | | | | government responses to heat waves in |
| the most important greenhouse gas, ranged | | | | some European countries. An emphasis on |
| between 200 and 300 parts per million | | | | sustainable development can help human |
| (ppm) for 800,000 years, but shot up to | | | | societies reduce their vulnerability to climate |
| about 387 ppm over the past 150 years, | | | | change. Sustainable use of an ecosystem |
| mainly because of the burning of fossil | | | | refers to the human use of an ecosystem |
| fuels and to a lesser extent due to | | | | so that it may yield a continuous benefit |
| agriculture and changing land use. The | | | | to present generation while maintaining it's |
| visible effects of climate change are | | | | potential to meet the needs and |
| already upon us. Like higher average air | | | | aspirations of future generations. A proper |
| and ocean temperatures , widespread melting | | | | development path must be chosen to |
| of snow and ice and rising sea level. | | | | reduce our vulnerability to climate change |
| Cold days, cold nights and frosts have | | | | and increase the capacity of populations |
| become less frequent while heat waves | | | | to adapt. Technological development also |
| are more common. Globally precipitation has | | | | plays an important role. As more efficient |
| increased even as Australia, Central Asia, the | | | | technologies are developed which rely less |
| Mediterranean basin, the Sahel, the western | | | | on fossil fuels total emission will also be |
| United States and many other regions | | | | substantially reduced. For this increased |
| have seen more frequent and more | | | | investment is needed in R&D in this |
| intense droughts. Heavy rainfall and floods | | | | area. Renewable sources of energy must |
| have become more common, and the | | | | also be harnessed properly. Awareness |
| damage from- and probably the intensity of- | | | | about climate change must be spread. A |
| storms and cyclones have increased. | | | | mix of the strategies of emission |
| LINKS BETWEEN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT | | | | reduction, adaptation and technological |
| AND CLIMATE CHANGE | | | | development will be the most effective. |
| There is a strong correlation between | | | | Incentives for emission reduction would |
| economic development and climate change. | | | | increase if the benefits of avoided climate |
| If we do not tackle this problem now | | | | change are taken into account and a |
| then climate change will reverse | | | | "carbon price" is established for each unit |
| development progress and compromise the | | | | of greenhouse gas emission. Policies can |
| well being of current and future generations. | | | | provide a real or implicit "price of carbon", |
| We have to choose a mode of | | | | through taxes, regulations or emission |
| development which is less dependent on | | | | trading schemes: the higher the "carbon |
| greenhouse gases if we are to reduce | | | | price" the greater the incentive for |
| global warming. Country development | | | | producers and consumers to invest in |
| decisions lock the world into a particular | | | | products, technologies and processes which |
| carbon intensity and determine future | | | | emit less greenhouse gases. Revenues from |
| warming. There is a strong inertia in the | | | | carbon taxes and emission permits must |
| climate system, in the built environment and | | | | be used to promote low carbon |
| in the behaviour of individuals and | | | | technologies. There should be a change in |
| institutions which requires immediate and | | | | lifestyles and consumption patterns. The |
| urgent action. The window of opportunity | | | | effects of all these will not be immediate |
| to choose the right policies to deal with | | | | .For this we all have to wait for a |
| climate change and promote development is | | | | long period. |
| closing. Increasing people's opportunities and | | | | CONCLUSION |
| material well-being without undermining the | | | | Today many people believe that the |
| sustainability of development is still the | | | | severe threat posed by climate change |
| main challenge for large swaths of the | | | | has been exaggerated. There is some |
| world, as a severe financial and economic | | | | truth in this proposition. It's not as if |
| crisis wreaks havoc across the globe. | | | | tomorrow we are going to witness |
| Failing to safeguard the environment | | | | massive tsunamis and the complete |
| eventually threatens economic and social | | | | submersion of our seas under the sea |
| achievements. Climate change is an | | | | level. This is a long term process. But |
| externality. Climate is a public good: those | | | | that does not give us any reason for |
| who fail to pay for it cannot be | | | | complacency. This is because the very |
| excluded from enjoying it's benefits and | | | | fact that nothing catastrophic has yet |
| one person's enjoyment of the climate | | | | occurred means that we still have time |
| does not diminish the capacity of others | | | | in our hands. This we have to utilize |
| to enjoy it too. Markets do not | | | | properly. And we must not only think |
| automatically provide the right type and | | | | about the survival of the human race |
| quantity of public goods, because in the | | | | but also of the animal and plant world. |
| absence of public policy there are limited | | | | Climate change also effects them. In the |
| or no returns to private investors for | | | | global ecosystem each and every living |
| doing so: in this case markets for relevant | | | | being is interlinked and dependent on one |
| goods and services (energy, land use | | | | another. We have to maintain this link to |
| ,innovation etc) do not reflect the | | | | ensure our own development. Even after |
| consequences of different consumption and | | | | the huge progress made in human |
| investment choices for the climate. Thus, | | | | civilization this link has not been broken. |
| climate change is an example of market | | | | Forests are the lungs of the earth. Their |
| failure invoving externalities and public | | | | existence is important for the proper |
| goods. Much economic activity involves the | | | | functioning of the global ecosystem. Hence |
| emission of greenhouse gases. Full costs | | | | forest conservation must receive the |
| of these emissions are not immediately or | | | | highest priority. |
| never borne by the emitter. They face | | | | |